天津医药 ›› 2021, Vol. 49 ›› Issue (7): 760-764.doi: 10.11958/20202506

• 应用研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

改进胃癌临床T分期模型的建立与评价

郭世伟,董银萍,武子镇,刘勇,王学军,张汝鹏,梁寒,邓靖宇   

  1. 天津医科大学肿瘤医院胃部肿瘤科、国家肿瘤临床医学研究中心、天津市“肿瘤防治”重点实验室、天津市恶性肿瘤临床医学研 究中心(邮编300060)
  • 收稿日期:2020-09-07 修回日期:2021-04-14 出版日期:2021-07-15 发布日期:2021-07-12
  • 作者简介:郭世伟(1995),男,硕士在读,主要从事胃癌的临床及基础研究。E-mail:18375323597@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划项目(2016YFC1303200,2017YFC0908304)

Establishment and evaluation of the revised clinical T staging model for patients with gastric cancer

GUO Shi-wei, DONG Yin-ping, WU Zi-zhen, LIU Yong, WANG Xue-jun, ZHANG Ru-peng, LIANG Han, DENG Jing-yu   

  1. Department of Gastroenterology, Tianjin Medical University Cancer Institute and Hospital, National Clinical Research Center for Cancer; Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy, Tianjin; Tianjin's Clinical Research Center for Cancer, Tianjin 300060, China
  • Received:2020-09-07 Revised:2021-04-14 Published:2021-07-15 Online:2021-07-12

摘要: 目的 建立改进的胃癌临床T分期模型,并对其预测效果进行评价,为改善临床T分期预测价值提供依据。方法 选取接受根治性手术的胃癌患者227例,其中102例为pT1~pT2期,125例为pT3~pT4期,患者术前均行超声内镜(EUS)及多层螺旋CT检查。比较pT1~pT2期和pT3~pT4期患者性别、年龄、肿瘤位置、Borrmann分型、基于CT的T分期、EUS下肿瘤侵犯胃壁层数、EUS肿瘤纵切面最大短径等临床及病理特征的差异。根据临床经验纳入基于CT的T分期、EUS下肿瘤侵犯胃壁层数建立传统的常规临床T分期Logistic回归模型。将单因素分析有意义的指标进行多因素Logistic回归分析,评价pT3~pT4期胃癌的影响因素并建立改进临床T分期Logistic回归模型。绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评价常规临床T分期模型与改进的临床T分期模型的预测效果。结果 常规临床T分期模型为Logit(P)=-2.599+2.409×基于CT的T分期+2.553×EUS下肿瘤侵犯胃壁层数。单因素分析与多因素Logistic回归分析显示,基于CT的T3~T4分期(OR=12.528,95%CI:4.347~36.109)、EUS下肿瘤侵犯胃壁第5层(OR=7.533,95%CI:2.539~22.353)、较长EUS肿瘤纵切面最大短径(OR=31.084,95%CI:8.681~111.307)为pT3~pT4的独立影响因素。以这3个变量建立改进临床T分期模型Logistic回归方程为Logit(P)=-7.884+2.528×基于CT的T分期+2.019×EUS下肿瘤侵犯胃壁层数+3.437×EUS肿瘤纵切面最大短径。改进临床T分期模型预测pT3~pT4期的临床价值优于常规临床T分期模型(AUC:0.952 vs. 0.891;Z=3.870,P<0.01)。在淋巴结阳性亚组中,改进临床T分期模型的预测价值亦优于常规临床T分期模型(AUC:0.916 vs. 0.864;Z=2.058,P<0.05)。结论 改进后的临床T分期模型可更好地预测胃癌患者的病理T分期,为患者的个体化治疗提供可靠依据。

关键词: 胃肿瘤, 体层摄影术, 螺旋计算机, 腔内超声检查, 肿瘤分期, Logistic模型, 超声内镜, 临床T分期

Abstract: Objective To establish a new clinical T staging model for patients with gastric cancer (GC) and to evaluate its predictive effect, so as to provide the basis for improving the predictive value of clinical T staging. Methods A total of 227 GC patients underwent radical surgery in our hospital were enrolled in this study. Among them, 102 cases were pT1-pT2 gastric cancer, 125 cases were pT3-pT4 gastric cancer. All patients underwent endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) and multi-slice spiral computed tomography (CT) examination before operation. Univariate analysis was used to compare the clinical and pathological data, including gender, age, tumor location, Borrmann classification, CT based T staging, the layers of tumor invading the gastric wall under EUS and the maximum short diameter of longitudinal section of tumor under EUS, between pT1-pT2 and pT3-pT4 patients. According to the clinical experience, CT-based T staging and the layers of tumor invading the gastric wall under EUS were included to establish the traditional conventional clinical T staging model (CCTSM). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to further evaluate the risk factors of pT3-pT4 after univariate analysis, and the significant variables were included in the revised clinical T staging model (RCTSM). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was constructed to assess the performance of two prediction models. Results The corresponding Logistic regression equation was Logit (P)= -2.599+2.409× CT based T staging + 2.553× the layers of tumor invading the gastric wall under EUS. The results of univariate analysis and multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that CT based T3-T4 staging (OR=12.528, 95%CI: 4.347-36.109), the 5th layer of tumor invading the gastric wall under EUS (OR=7.533, 95%CI: 2.539-22.353), the longer maximum of the short diameter of tumor longitudinal section under EUS (OR=31.084, 95%CI: 8.681-111.307) were independent risk factors of pT3-pT4 stage in the GC patients. The Logistic regression equation of the revised clinical T staging model was established with these three variables: Logit (P)= -7.884+2.528× CT based T staging + 2.019× the layers of tumor invading the gastric wall under EUS + 3.437×the maximum short diameter of longitudinal section of tumor under EUS. The clinical value of the RCTSM in predicting pT3~pT4 was better than that of the CCTSM (AUC: 0.952 vs. 0.891, Z=3.870, P<0.01). In the lymph node positive subgroup, the predictive value of the RCTSM was also better than that of the CCTSM (AUC: 0.916 vs. 0.864, Z=2.058,P<0.05). Conclusion The RCTSM can better predict the pathological T staging in patients with gastric cancer and provide reliable basis for individualized treatment of GC patients.

Key words: stomach neoplasms, tomography, spiral computed, endosonography, neoplasm staging, Logistic models, endoscopic ultrasonography, clinical T stage