Tianjin Medical Journal ›› 2026, Vol. 54 ›› Issue (2): 184-188.doi: 10.11958/20252440

• Clinical Research • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Expression of plasma marinobufagenin and type Ⅰ collagen α1 chain levels and their correlation with prognosis in patients with chronic heart failure

ZHOU Qiaozhi1(), WU Hongjuan2, WANG Kecheng3   

  1. 1 Department of Emergency
    2 Department of Intensive Care Unit
    3 Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, 3201 Hospital, Hanzhong 723000, China
  • Received:2025-07-06 Revised:2025-10-08 Published:2026-02-15 Online:2026-02-12

Abstract:

Objective To investigate the expression levels of plasma marinobufagenin (MBG) and type Ⅰ collagen α1 chain (COL1A1) in patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) and their correlation with prognosis. Methods A total of 126 patients with CHF (CHF group) and 63 healthy volunteers (control group) were enrolled. According to the New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional classification, CHF patients were divided into the class Ⅱ (n=48), the class Ⅲ (n=44), and the class Ⅳ (n=34) groups. Based on the 6-month follow-up outcomes, patients were classified into the poor prognosis and the good prognosis groups. Plasma MBG and COL1A1 levels were measured, and their relationships with NYHA classification and prognosis were analyzed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate predictive efficacy. Results Plasma MBG and COL1A1 levels were significantly higher in the CHF group than those in the control group (P<0.05). Among CHF patients, plasma MBG and COL1A1 levels increased progressively from NYHA class Ⅱ to Ⅳ (P<0.05) and were positively correlated with NYHA classification (P<0.05). During the 6-month follow-up, the incidence of poor prognosis in CHF patients was 31.75% (40/126). Multivariate logistic regression showed that NYHA class Ⅳ (OR=4.007, 95%CI: 1.858-8.643), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (OR=1.001, 95%CI: 1.000-1.001), MBG (OR=1.020, 95%CI: 1.010-1.030), and COL1A1 (OR=1.037, 95%CI: 1.017-1.056) were independent risk factors for poor prognosis (P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve (AUC) for the combined prediction of MBG and COL1A1 was 0.880 (95%CI: 0.810-0.931), which was superior to MBG (0.786, 95%CI: 0.704-0.854) or COL1A1 (0.797, 95%CI: 0.716-0.863) alone (P<0.05). Conclusion Elevated plasma MBG and COL1A1 levels are associated with impaired cardiac function and poor prognosis in CHF patients, and their combined measurement provides higher predictive value for adverse outcomes.

Key words: heart failure, prognosis, collagen type Ⅰ, marinobufagenin, cardiac function

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